Last week, it was announced that July’s Job losses were only 247,000 and so the the Dow rallied over 100pts. Well hurrah for that! There was me getting worried about the level of job losses in the US only to be reassured that July was not as bad as expected. What was the expected figure…300,000!
Now, here comes the big question. Does less bad = good? Should we really be getting so excited that the US is only shedding 247,000 jobs? Of course not and here is why. The US has thrown close to $14 trillion into bailouts and stimulus programs over the last 10 months or so, and yet are STILL losing hundreds of thousands of jobs each month. Sure, things will look better for a while, as all of these trillions have to go somewhere but at the end of the day it is highly conceivable the US will be left with a bankrupt system while job losses continue to grow. Some are convinced that this is the case and it is only a matter of timing!
I for one cannot disagree with this. I am fearful for what lies around around the corner globally and think we will have to suffer the consequences for the levels of debt etc which we have engaged in. That is why you need to be vigilant, particularly now as the markets look to be approaching precarious levels. Do not just jump into the markets in fear of missing out on what you think could be “easy money”. Remember, it is usually the ordinary individuals that get caught out in these bear and bull market rallies due to their lack of discipline or their failure to plan and adhere to a strategy.
For those of you who believe your jobs are vulnerable in this current economic climate, you need to determine how you will handle a worse case scenario. This is exactly what I did and I am now confident that no matter what the economy throws up, I have insulated myself. It is a reassuring position to be in so please, ensure you considering the near term future today.
It wasn’t all that long ago that I decided to walk away from my job as an Investment Analyst at an Asset Management firm and to focus my efforts on preparing for what this recession is going to throw at us and that to me is quite obvious….Mass Unemployment!